Can You Beat Baccarat
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letswin
Beware the Banker’s Cut! When you learn baccarat rules you will know it’s normal for the casino. Manage Your Money. If you can walk out of the casino after a few coups of Baccarat with a little money in your pocket, then you’re a winner. The second you think of Baccarat as a game that can be beat or depend on some wagering strategy so that you make a ton of money playing Baccarat, you’re setting yourself up for disappointment. Let’s say you have $500 in your pocket and you want to. Baccarat players aren’t usually rewarded for patience as is the case at other tables. Ride a streak for as long as you can and look to make an impact in short playing sessions. The longer you stay at the table, the more likely it is that you will suffer big losses. Be wary of the tie bet. You can also choose the table you want to play at according to betting limits and whether you like the dealer. Tips To Beat The Dealer. Online live baccarat has little to no strategy. The game is based on luck, but you can help your chances to win by following these simple tips: Avoid The Tie Bet – the house’s biggest edge comes in the tie.
Can You Beat Baccarat
Like I did in my previous thread, I am here just to share an experience. I have been playing baccarat for a few years. And have been trying to find a way to beat the game for a long time. I've made over $500k and have lost over $500k (not including recent success). So I have been through the worst with this game. From using progressions, to waiting for triggers, card counting. Nothing has ever worked. Why? Why has always been my question......because when you bet player you have less than a total expectancy of 45% win rate and when betting banker, you have less than a total expectancy of 46% win rate. I know my math explanation is lame, but, basically, what I'm trying to say, is that it is a negative expectancy game. Which is not like I'm saying anything new....but I'm just saying.....you are betting into something that has odds against you every single hand. Doesn't matter what count you use, what trigger you use. If you are using any kind of betting pattern? You will lose. Ten players does not mean a banker will come. Ten bankers does not mean a player will come. The win expectancy is totally individual each and every single hand. And it is not effected enough based on what cards came out, or what cards are left, to get any higher percentage than the two I said above. Over infinity? However, banker wins 50% of the time. No one will live that long to see that. And, even if you did, you would STILL be behind, because of the banker commission.
If you want to beat baccarat? You HAVE to use flat betting. I have created something that is quite remarkable. It's hard to explain, but, the only way I can explain it, is that I am basically, fighting fire with fire. Baccarat is totally random. And, in that randomness, you have less than a 50% chance of hitting banker or player, over the long run. You have a better chance of hitting head or tails 50% of the time over the long run when you flip a coin. This is true because of the way baccarat is designed. Even 50/50, can't be beaten by progressions. HOWEVER.......baccarat uses cards. Cards, since they have a declining element, cannot be 100% random. Being that there are certain rules that create certain outcomes (stands, naturals, and then 6 card draws), a truly random element CAN BEAT a pseudo random element. This may not make sense to most, but, this is what I have created with my partner (my wife) to beat baccarat. We have, over the past 8 months, tested and tried a very effective flat betting method that has been generating us 30-80 units a day with a max draw down of 4-5 units at any given time. We've gone through many periods of winning over 20 hands in a row. I have never seen anything like that. And these win streaks are not on streaks of banker of player or chops, or twos, or threes....no, these are just streaks of winning hands period.
What is the secret to our success without giving away the system? Our bet selection is random. Our trigger is random. And our wagers are random. And all three of those change randomly. For random reasons. Nothing we do, has anything to do with banker, player, or the game itself. Yes. 100%, true randomness. And we bet every single hand. On paper? We're up over 1000s of units. In real live play? We're up a fortune. I'm not here to give away my system, sell my system,...I'm only here to share an experience to encourage certain things and share advice.
First, STAY RANDOM. Don't fall prey to patterns, simple triggers, banker/player tracking.
Second, don't ever use progressions. If you have to use a progression? Your system is a losing system.
Third, if you have to use 'triggers' that make you wait for certain 'conditions'? Then your system is a loser. You have to be able to bet on every single hand. This way? Your system will face all hand combinations.
Fourth, which is the most important one, TEST YOUR METHOD THOROUGHLY. Just because you beat a few hundred shoes that you recorded from your local casino, does not mean your system is a winner. Test your method against a simulator. A real baccarat random (rng) simulator. If your system, cannot stay positive, winning over 1000 units, flat betting, against a simulator? Then it will not work. Please people....this is VERY important advice. Too many times, people are in such a rush to use a system that has won fairly often enough in the casino. Listen to me when I say this......even if your system beats the casino shoes for a whole year....they can still lose. Here's why. Random results, force your 'system' to face more combinations, much sooner. It's like, putting the house edge in your face all the time. You can be in the casino, and not see enough hand combinations to really see the randomness of the game and the winning rate of the house edge for a long time. Due to weak shuffles, overlaps/clumps in the cards, ..etc. etc. This never happens with simulations. Simulations are harder to beat than live cards because they pit you up against the long term odds much more sooner than live cards. So please, test your method THOROUGHLY against simulations for a long time. And set a number. If your system can BEAT a random baccarat simulator and put you in the positive 1000 or more units? Flat betting? Then you have beaten baccarat.
I am willing to answer any questions. I have lost so much money playing baccarat before discovering what I have discovered and I have finally made all of my money back plus TONS more. I want people to win. But, I cannot reveal my system to anyone, for obvious reasons.
Using my advice, anyone can create their own winning system!
If you want to beat baccarat? You HAVE to use flat betting. I have created something that is quite remarkable. It's hard to explain, but, the only way I can explain it, is that I am basically, fighting fire with fire. Baccarat is totally random. And, in that randomness, you have less than a 50% chance of hitting banker or player, over the long run. You have a better chance of hitting head or tails 50% of the time over the long run when you flip a coin. This is true because of the way baccarat is designed. Even 50/50, can't be beaten by progressions. HOWEVER.......baccarat uses cards. Cards, since they have a declining element, cannot be 100% random. Being that there are certain rules that create certain outcomes (stands, naturals, and then 6 card draws), a truly random element CAN BEAT a pseudo random element. This may not make sense to most, but, this is what I have created with my partner (my wife) to beat baccarat. We have, over the past 8 months, tested and tried a very effective flat betting method that has been generating us 30-80 units a day with a max draw down of 4-5 units at any given time. We've gone through many periods of winning over 20 hands in a row. I have never seen anything like that. And these win streaks are not on streaks of banker of player or chops, or twos, or threes....no, these are just streaks of winning hands period.
What is the secret to our success without giving away the system? Our bet selection is random. Our trigger is random. And our wagers are random. And all three of those change randomly. For random reasons. Nothing we do, has anything to do with banker, player, or the game itself. Yes. 100%, true randomness. And we bet every single hand. On paper? We're up over 1000s of units. In real live play? We're up a fortune. I'm not here to give away my system, sell my system,...I'm only here to share an experience to encourage certain things and share advice.
First, STAY RANDOM. Don't fall prey to patterns, simple triggers, banker/player tracking.
Second, don't ever use progressions. If you have to use a progression? Your system is a losing system.
Third, if you have to use 'triggers' that make you wait for certain 'conditions'? Then your system is a loser. You have to be able to bet on every single hand. This way? Your system will face all hand combinations.
Fourth, which is the most important one, TEST YOUR METHOD THOROUGHLY. Just because you beat a few hundred shoes that you recorded from your local casino, does not mean your system is a winner. Test your method against a simulator. A real baccarat random (rng) simulator. If your system, cannot stay positive, winning over 1000 units, flat betting, against a simulator? Then it will not work. Please people....this is VERY important advice. Too many times, people are in such a rush to use a system that has won fairly often enough in the casino. Listen to me when I say this......even if your system beats the casino shoes for a whole year....they can still lose. Here's why. Random results, force your 'system' to face more combinations, much sooner. It's like, putting the house edge in your face all the time. You can be in the casino, and not see enough hand combinations to really see the randomness of the game and the winning rate of the house edge for a long time. Due to weak shuffles, overlaps/clumps in the cards, ..etc. etc. This never happens with simulations. Simulations are harder to beat than live cards because they pit you up against the long term odds much more sooner than live cards. So please, test your method THOROUGHLY against simulations for a long time. And set a number. If your system can BEAT a random baccarat simulator and put you in the positive 1000 or more units? Flat betting? Then you have beaten baccarat.
I am willing to answer any questions. I have lost so much money playing baccarat before discovering what I have discovered and I have finally made all of my money back plus TONS more. I want people to win. But, I cannot reveal my system to anyone, for obvious reasons.
Using my advice, anyone can create their own winning system!
sodawater
K sounds good
EvenBob
What is the secret to our success without giving away the system? Our bet selection is random. Our trigger is random. And our wagers are random.
Then you're losing right at the HE. Congrats.
'It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail.' Gore Vidal
letswin
What is HE?
And thanks!
And thanks!
thecesspit
What is HE?
And thanks!
House edge. It;'s an incorrect statement though. You expectation is right at the house edge. However, actual results aren't expectation, as you actually have the results of a play (or series of plays). You can only compare to the expectation at that point and see if you are above or below, how far and whether that it is within the variance expected, given the model of expected bets you are using.
Best of luck.
'Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante' - Honore de Balzac, 1829
Avincow
So basically you created a system based on being random? If your system is truly 'random', then by definition you don't have a system. You are betting randomly! Btw, betting randomly, progressively, or flat betting will get you to the same result in the long run. Please do not be deluded into thinking you have someway beat the casino with your random betting. You have experienced some good variance, and that is it. I have met my fair share of people who have told me they get good hunches to help them beat the casino and win $5000 or some other unrealistic goal. At the end of the night these same people are begging me for gas money. It's one of the reasons I try to avoid making friends with randoms at the casino.
letswin
Ah!
Great point.
That's I suggest simulators for everyone to use. Don't waste any money until your method is thoroughly tested.
Great point.
That's I suggest simulators for everyone to use. Don't waste any money until your method is thoroughly tested.
sc15
tl; dr
but your system's a losing one.
but your system's a losing one.
letswin
So basically you created a system based on being random? If your system is truly 'random', then by definition you don't have a system. You are betting randomly! Btw, betting randomly, progressively, or flat betting will get you to the same result in the long run. Please do not be deluded into thinking you have someway beat the casino with your random betting. You have experienced some good variance, and that is it. I have met my fair share of people who have told me they get good hunches to help them beat the casino and win $5000 or some other unrealistic goal. At the end of the night these same people are begging me for gas money. It's one of the reasons I try to avoid making friends with randoms at the casino.
I agree with you that I don't have a system. My system isn't a system, it's more like an approach. A method. A style. The only person that is delusional is the person who has won a few and believe they have a system. Like I said. My method has been tested over 17 hours a day, for about a year against random results and is up over 1000s upon 1000s of units before finally being used lived, flat betting every single hand. That's not just some good variance And, in live play? I've been making about 100 units a day. Max draw down, only 4-5 units. It's not good variance, trust me. Random can beat random, if used properly.
Can You Beat Baccarat Rules
But don't believe me, test the theory yourself. I won't give you my system, but, the idea is sound! Test it! It will blow your mind and change the way people approach gambling forever. If you can beat a simulator, and with stand all of the 5 million or so baccarat combinations? You have beaten the game, not, just created some good variance.Just think about what I have said. I bet every single hand. That means I am betting 72 hands per shoe, every single shoe. I'm not avoiding anything. I'm not hitting and running. I'm not using a progression. I am flat betting and winning long term. I have beaten the game. Random can beat pseudo random. And I have proven it.
letswin
tl; dr
but your system's a losing one.
Before assuming or casting judgments, test the theory my friend!- Page 1 of 26